Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 15.168993 17.268580 19.685138 22.703130 26.415555 30.892779 36.795023
2025-03-16 12.147107 14.622693 17.716359 21.960165 27.787758 35.765605 48.012032
2025-03-23 10.648499 13.294990 16.788988 21.906533 29.525785 41.041300 61.139723
2025-03-30 9.311600 11.916478 15.487818 20.967275 29.625291 43.747497 71.134723
2025-04-06 8.234367 10.733234 14.257864 19.862300 29.144382 45.261843 79.500925
2025-04-13 7.434848 9.843040 13.323169 19.031560 28.890467 47.022747 89.079574
2025-04-20 7.484966 10.168813 14.208546 21.198425 34.200821 60.795726 134.204256
2025-04-27 7.199586 9.956968 14.227045 21.903264 36.988431 70.498818 177.656510
2025-05-04 6.652186 9.291906 13.445672 21.077752 36.565732 72.733864 199.905458
2025-05-11 6.432100 9.117920 13.446292 21.666740 39.198379 83.545125 266.959565
2025-05-18 6.081341 8.705860 13.003760 21.352525 39.784817 89.178327 320.988410
2025-05-25 5.797047 8.380087 12.678134 21.219253 40.758412 96.415264 397.948585
2025-06-01 5.569853 8.146965 12.519202 21.454766 42.831127 108.770957 547.325256
2025-06-08 5.230719 7.704511 11.950339 20.775669 42.477080 112.899352 653.156010
2025-06-15 5.010529 7.447948 11.695573 20.725571 43.771474 124.033510 890.212344
2025-06-22 4.703818 7.023786 11.097507 19.856242 42.637448 124.970383 1015.695713
2025-06-29 4.402185 6.592820 10.458540 18.831948 40.885726 122.598715 1088.791638
2025-07-06 4.154631 6.244181 9.953569 18.060734 39.741755 122.581809 1222.195163
2025-07-13 4.253352 6.507540 10.631745 20.070299 47.423212 171.338561 3837.862703
2025-07-20 4.188156 6.472826 10.725471 20.722578 51.130085 204.936300 9954.999704
2025-07-27 3.981859 6.170814 10.264401 19.958558 49.844201 205.897659 13339.357930
2025-08-03 3.918833 6.127835 10.323118 20.503766 53.348082 245.059789 69152.878143
2025-08-10 3.780195 5.937674 10.067047 20.212965 53.723977 261.473433 338629.999176